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Spain face Georgia in their final preliminary match on Sunday, knowing that a draw is all that is required to finish first in Euro 2024 qualifying Group A.
La Roja comfortably defeated Cyprus 3-1 in their penultimate match on Thursday, while Georgia was held to a 2-2 draw with Scotland.
While both Spain and Scotland were already guaranteed to play in Euro 2024 before the first ball was kicked in Group A this month, there is still the small matter of determining which teams will enter the coveted Pot 1 for the group-stage draw.
Spain harmed Cyprus's chances of achieving both goals by defeating them 3-1 on Thursday evening.
Spain has a two-point lead over Scotland, who play Norway on Sunday, and will be guaranteed to qualify in first place with a win this weekend, though a draw will most likely suffice given their superior goal difference of +18 compared to +9 for Steve Clarke's side, with whom they are level on all head-to-head categories.
With their Nations League victory in the summer, the hosts took the first step toward restoring former glories and are now looking for an eighth consecutive victory in all tournaments against visitors who have little to play for, having already been confirmed as one of 12 playoff representatives.
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No prizes for guessing who correctly led Georgia's charge against Scotland in midweek, as Napoli wing king Khvicha Kvaratskhelia breached Clarke's backline twice, first crashing home at the near post before cutting inside and finding the far corner with panache.
However, Scotland responded to Kvaratskhelia's efforts on both occasions, with Scott McTominay's mishit shot trickling over the line and Lawrence Shankland heading home a dramatic late equalizer.
McTominay called Willy Sagnol's players a "disgrace" and blasted Scotland's opponents for "crying like babies" in a game fraught with scuffles, fouls, and bookings, but while Clarke's side is assured of first place, Georgia still has a few obstacles to overcome.
The fourth-placed Crusaders have already qualified for the playoffs as the highest-ranked team in the Nations League's third tier, offering hope of a first-ever major tournament appearance for the former Soviet nation, which has risen from League D to League B in the Nations League since the competition's inception in 2018.
Georgia, on the other hand, has lost three of their last four away games, including their last two Group A matches against Norway and Scotland, and Spain's visit to Tbilisi in September ended with Sagnol's side being thrashed 7-1 by the 2008 and 2012 continental champions.
Spain 3-1 Georgia, according to us.
Injuries may be a problem for De la Fuente's team, but the abundance of talent in the Roja reserves means that Georgia's trip to Valladolid should not be worthwhile for Sagnol's team.
The Crusaders have never had trouble finding the back of the net, but they have flattered to deceive on the road, and Spain should finish first in the group in style.
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